QPF MODEL OUTPUT Tue 15 Jul 2025 03:06:38 PM MST -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- *** HRRR OUTPUT, MODEL RUN (date/time): 250715/2000 *** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 1: KPHX SURFACE BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (F) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2100 02PM 100.8 55.3 1.48 406.1 189.4 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.67 0.47 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 102.1 55.0 1.48 457.4 143.0 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.63 0.44 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 102.8 56.3 1.52 696.8 100.9 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.73 0.51 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 103.2 56.3 1.51 684.7 80.9 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.72 0.51 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 103.0 54.0 1.42 316.3 119.8 1.3 4.8 **** **** **** 0.54 0.38 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 101.7 53.9 1.40 245.7 134.1 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.54 0.37 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 99.6 54.3 1.43 213.9 176.7 1.4 4.8 **** **** **** 0.59 0.41 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 96.5 53.6 1.43 81.4 366.6 1.4 4.9 **** **** **** 0.57 0.40 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 94.0 54.2 1.51 56.7 411.5 1.6 4.9 **** **** **** 0.67 0.47 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 92.4 55.7 1.58 39.2 283.7 1.8 4.8 **** **** **** 0.83 0.58 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 85.9 65.2 1.68 635.8 314.1 3.7 4.3 **** **** **** 1.78 1.25 0.75 3.56 2.49 1.50 2 Moderate 800 01AM 85.2 64.3 1.76 514.4 318.7 3.5 4.3 **** **** **** 1.77 1.24 0.75 3.55 2.48 1.49 2 Moderate 900 02AM 84.6 64.8 1.78 490.5 254.6 3.7 4.3 **** **** **** 1.86 1.30 0.78 3.72 2.60 1.56 3 Elevated 1000 03AM 84.5 65.0 1.77 533.4 257.5 3.7 4.3 **** **** **** 1.86 1.30 0.78 3.72 2.61 1.56 3 Elevated 1100 04AM 84.5 64.5 1.72 439.8 267.7 3.6 4.3 **** **** **** 1.77 1.24 0.74 3.53 2.47 1.48 2 Moderate 1200 05AM 84.5 64.1 1.70 450.2 257.8 3.5 4.3 **** **** **** 1.71 1.20 0.72 3.42 2.40 1.44 2 Moderate 1300 06AM 84.5 63.8 1.73 374.8 247.1 3.4 4.3 **** **** **** 1.70 1.19 0.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1400 07AM 85.7 63.2 1.80 333.1 199.6 3.3 4.4 **** **** **** 1.70 1.19 0.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 2: KPHX 850MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2100 02PM 78.5 10.8 1.48 406.1 189.4 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.50 0.35 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 80.0 10.7 1.48 457.4 143.0 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.48 0.33 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 80.9 11.6 1.52 696.8 100.9 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.56 0.40 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 81.8 11.5 1.51 684.7 80.9 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.55 0.38 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 82.1 10.3 1.42 316.3 119.8 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.41 0.29 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 81.6 10.2 1.40 245.7 134.1 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.40 0.28 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 80.9 10.5 1.43 213.9 176.7 1.4 4.8 **** **** **** 0.43 0.30 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 80.3 10.6 1.43 81.4 366.6 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.45 0.31 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 80.5 10.8 1.51 56.7 411.5 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.49 0.34 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 74.6 11.5 1.58 39.2 283.7 1.8 4.8 **** **** **** 0.63 0.44 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 73.5 12.0 1.68 635.8 314.1 2.0 4.7 **** **** **** 0.73 0.51 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 72.4 12.3 1.76 514.4 318.7 2.2 4.7 **** **** **** 0.81 0.57 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 71.5 12.0 1.78 490.5 254.6 2.1 4.7 **** **** **** 0.79 0.55 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1000 03AM 71.1 11.7 1.77 533.4 257.5 2.0 4.7 **** **** **** 0.76 0.53 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1100 04AM 71.0 10.7 1.72 439.8 267.7 1.7 4.8 **** **** **** 0.63 0.44 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 70.6 11.5 1.70 450.2 257.8 2.0 4.8 **** **** **** 0.71 0.50 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 70.1 12.0 1.73 374.8 247.1 2.1 4.7 **** **** **** 0.78 0.54 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 69.3 12.3 1.80 333.1 199.6 2.2 4.7 **** **** **** 0.86 0.60 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 3: KPHX 700MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2100 02PM 54.6 2.1 1.48 406.1 189.4 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 53.3 2.3 1.48 457.4 143.0 0.0 5.4 **** **** **** 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 53.5 2.9 1.52 696.8 100.9 0.2 5.4 **** **** **** 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 53.1 3.9 1.51 684.7 80.9 0.4 5.2 **** **** **** 0.14 0.09 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 53.1 3.9 1.42 316.3 119.8 0.4 5.2 **** **** **** 0.13 0.09 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 53.0 4.0 1.40 245.7 134.1 0.5 5.2 **** **** **** 0.14 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 52.8 4.3 1.43 213.9 176.7 0.5 5.2 **** **** **** 0.16 0.12 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 53.5 3.8 1.43 81.4 366.6 0.4 5.2 **** **** **** 0.12 0.09 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 52.4 5.3 1.51 56.7 411.5 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.26 0.18 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 51.0 6.6 1.58 39.2 283.7 1.1 4.9 **** **** **** 0.39 0.27 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 51.7 6.3 1.68 635.8 314.1 1.1 5.0 **** **** **** 0.38 0.27 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 51.7 6.3 1.76 514.4 318.7 1.1 5.0 **** **** **** 0.40 0.28 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 50.6 6.7 1.78 490.5 254.6 1.2 4.9 **** **** **** 0.45 0.32 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1000 03AM 50.4 6.6 1.77 533.4 257.5 1.2 4.9 **** **** **** 0.44 0.31 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1100 04AM 51.0 6.2 1.72 439.8 267.7 1.0 5.0 **** **** **** 0.38 0.27 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 50.6 6.5 1.70 450.2 257.8 1.1 4.9 **** **** **** 0.41 0.29 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 50.4 6.6 1.73 374.8 247.1 1.2 4.9 **** **** **** 0.43 0.30 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 49.5 6.8 1.80 333.1 199.6 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.48 0.34 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- *** RAP OUTPUT, MODEL RUN (date/time): 250715/2000 *** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 1: KPHX SURFACE BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (F) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2100 02PM 100.7 55.7 1.47 498.5 177.9 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.69 0.48 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 101.9 54.5 1.46 488.7 163.8 1.4 4.8 **** **** **** 0.59 0.42 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 102.8 54.0 1.44 496.4 152.1 1.3 4.8 **** **** **** 0.55 0.38 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 103.0 54.1 1.44 531.0 129.9 1.3 4.8 **** **** **** 0.56 0.39 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 102.6 54.8 1.49 630.9 95.9 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.62 0.43 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 101.7 55.7 1.53 679.3 82.5 1.6 4.7 **** **** **** 0.70 0.49 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 99.6 55.9 1.55 553.4 84.4 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.75 0.53 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 96.9 53.4 1.49 74.1 305.9 1.4 4.9 **** **** **** 0.59 0.41 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 94.0 52.0 1.48 3.9 549.7 1.2 5.0 **** **** **** 0.52 0.36 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 92.0 50.6 1.51 0.0 0.0 1.1 5.1 **** **** **** 0.46 0.32 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 90.8 49.5 1.54 0.0 0.0 0.9 5.2 **** **** **** 0.41 0.29 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 90.0 48.9 1.52 0.0 0.0 0.9 5.2 **** **** **** 0.38 0.27 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 89.1 48.8 1.51 0.0 0.0 0.9 5.2 **** **** **** 0.38 0.27 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1000 03AM 88.2 49.3 1.52 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.2 **** **** **** 0.42 0.29 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1100 04AM 86.4 53.3 1.53 0.0 0.0 1.6 4.9 **** **** **** 0.70 0.49 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 85.2 55.0 1.53 0.0 0.0 1.9 4.8 **** **** **** 0.82 0.57 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 83.7 53.7 1.51 0.0 0.0 1.7 4.9 **** **** **** 0.74 0.52 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 84.3 54.5 1.52 0.0 0.0 1.8 4.9 **** **** **** 0.79 0.55 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 2: KPHX 850MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2100 02PM 78.2 11.0 1.47 498.5 177.9 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.51 0.36 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 79.6 10.4 1.46 488.7 163.8 1.4 4.8 **** **** **** 0.45 0.31 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 80.7 10.2 1.44 496.4 152.1 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.41 0.29 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 81.4 10.3 1.44 531.0 129.9 1.4 4.9 **** **** **** 0.42 0.29 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 81.6 10.7 1.49 630.9 95.9 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.46 0.32 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 81.6 11.2 1.53 679.3 82.5 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.53 0.37 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 80.7 11.3 1.55 553.4 84.4 1.6 4.7 **** **** **** 0.55 0.38 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 80.1 10.8 1.49 74.1 305.9 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.48 0.34 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 80.3 11.0 1.48 3.9 549.7 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.49 0.35 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 80.0 10.7 1.51 0.0 0.0 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.48 0.34 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 76.5 9.1 1.54 0.0 0.0 1.1 5.0 **** **** **** 0.38 0.26 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 74.4 6.7 1.52 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.3 **** **** **** 0.19 0.13 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 72.4 6.9 1.51 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.3 **** **** **** 0.22 0.15 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1000 03AM 70.8 8.2 1.52 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.1 **** **** **** 0.33 0.23 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1100 04AM 70.6 8.3 1.53 0.0 0.0 1.1 5.1 **** **** **** 0.35 0.25 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 71.9 7.7 1.53 0.0 0.0 0.9 5.2 **** **** **** 0.29 0.20 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 71.1 8.6 1.51 0.0 0.0 1.1 5.1 **** **** **** 0.36 0.25 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 69.7 9.4 1.52 0.0 0.0 1.4 5.0 **** **** **** 0.45 0.31 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 3: KPHX 700MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2100 02PM 57.5 5.2 1.47 498.5 177.9 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.20 0.14 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 58.2 5.5 1.46 488.7 163.8 0.7 5.1 **** **** **** 0.21 0.15 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 58.9 5.4 1.44 496.4 152.1 0.6 5.1 **** **** **** 0.20 0.14 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 59.1 5.9 1.44 531.0 129.9 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.24 0.17 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 58.9 6.8 1.49 630.9 95.9 1.0 5.0 **** **** **** 0.32 0.23 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 58.5 7.6 1.53 679.3 82.5 1.2 4.9 **** **** **** 0.40 0.28 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 57.6 8.3 1.55 553.4 84.4 1.4 4.8 **** **** **** 0.48 0.34 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 58.2 7.7 1.49 74.1 305.9 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.40 0.28 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 59.4 5.8 1.48 3.9 549.7 0.7 5.1 **** **** **** 0.23 0.16 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 59.1 6.3 1.51 0.0 0.0 0.9 5.0 **** **** **** 0.28 0.20 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 57.8 8.5 1.54 0.0 0.0 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.49 0.35 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 56.6 8.7 1.52 0.0 0.0 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.52 0.36 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 55.1 7.7 1.51 0.0 0.0 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.43 0.30 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1000 03AM 54.6 6.7 1.52 0.0 0.0 1.1 5.0 **** **** **** 0.35 0.25 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1100 04AM 54.6 6.2 1.53 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.1 **** **** **** 0.31 0.22 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 55.3 7.8 1.53 0.0 0.0 1.4 4.9 **** **** **** 0.44 0.31 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 55.7 7.9 1.51 0.0 0.0 1.4 4.9 **** **** **** 0.45 0.31 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 55.5 6.9 1.52 0.0 0.0 1.1 5.0 **** **** **** 0.36 0.25 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- *** SREF (MEAN) OUTPUT, MODEL RUN (date/time): 250715/1500 *** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 1: KPHX SURFACE BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (F) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2200 03PM 100.3 56.2 1.49 532.2 126.6 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.74 0.51 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 100.5 56.2 1.47 516.7 125.3 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.73 0.51 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 100.1 56.4 1.45 468.7 146.0 1.8 4.7 **** **** **** 0.73 0.51 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 99.2 56.7 1.44 446.9 181.9 1.8 4.7 **** **** **** 0.76 0.53 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 97.1 57.4 1.42 386.1 253.5 2.0 4.7 **** **** **** 0.81 0.57 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 93.6 57.4 1.40 251.9 379.9 2.1 4.7 **** **** **** 0.83 0.58 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 90.9 57.7 1.40 132.9 491.7 2.2 4.7 **** **** **** 0.88 0.61 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 88.4 57.7 1.42 47.1 569.0 2.3 4.7 **** **** **** 0.92 0.64 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 86.4 57.6 1.44 0.0 0.0 2.3 4.7 **** **** **** 0.94 0.66 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 84.5 57.5 1.45 0.0 0.0 2.3 4.7 **** **** **** 0.96 0.67 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 800 01AM 83.2 57.6 1.46 0.0 0.0 2.4 4.7 **** **** **** 0.98 0.69 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 900 02AM 82.5 57.7 1.46 0.0 0.0 2.4 4.7 **** **** **** 1.00 0.70 0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1000 03AM 81.9 57.7 1.47 0.0 0.0 2.4 4.7 **** **** **** 1.01 0.71 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1100 04AM 81.2 57.8 1.47 0.0 0.0 2.4 4.7 **** **** **** 1.03 0.72 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1200 05AM 80.5 58.1 1.47 0.0 0.0 2.5 4.7 **** **** **** 1.06 0.74 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1300 06AM 80.0 58.4 1.46 0.0 0.0 2.6 4.6 **** **** **** 1.08 0.76 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1400 07AM 80.9 59.1 1.46 0.0 0.0 2.7 4.6 **** **** **** 1.12 0.78 0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1500 08AM 83.0 58.5 1.46 0.0 0.0 2.5 4.6 **** **** **** 1.05 0.73 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 2: KPHX 850MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2200 03PM 78.9 11.1 1.49 532.2 126.6 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.52 0.36 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 79.2 11.1 1.47 516.7 125.3 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.51 0.36 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 78.9 11.2 1.45 468.7 146.0 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.52 0.36 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 78.3 11.4 1.44 446.9 181.9 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.53 0.37 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 76.9 11.3 1.42 386.1 253.5 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.53 0.37 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 76.4 10.8 1.40 251.9 379.9 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.48 0.34 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 76.5 10.6 1.40 132.9 491.7 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.47 0.33 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 76.2 10.8 1.42 47.1 569.0 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.49 0.34 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 75.6 11.0 1.44 0.0 0.0 1.7 4.8 **** **** **** 0.52 0.36 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 74.6 10.7 1.45 0.0 0.0 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.50 0.35 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 73.7 9.8 1.46 0.0 0.0 1.4 4.9 **** **** **** 0.44 0.31 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 72.8 9.1 1.46 0.0 0.0 1.2 5.0 **** **** **** 0.38 0.27 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1000 03AM 71.7 8.5 1.47 0.0 0.0 1.1 5.1 **** **** **** 0.35 0.24 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1100 04AM 71.0 8.1 1.47 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.1 **** **** **** 0.32 0.22 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 70.2 7.8 1.47 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.1 **** **** **** 0.30 0.21 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 69.9 7.8 1.46 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.1 **** **** **** 0.30 0.21 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 69.5 8.0 1.46 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.1 **** **** **** 0.32 0.22 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 69.3 8.1 1.46 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.1 **** **** **** 0.32 0.23 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 3: KPHX 700MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2200 03PM 56.9 5.3 1.49 532.2 126.6 0.7 5.1 **** **** **** 0.21 0.15 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 57.1 5.2 1.47 516.7 125.3 0.6 5.1 **** **** **** 0.20 0.14 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 57.3 5.1 1.45 468.7 146.0 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.19 0.13 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 57.6 4.9 1.44 446.9 181.9 0.5 5.2 **** **** **** 0.17 0.12 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 58.0 4.5 1.42 386.1 253.5 0.4 5.2 **** **** **** 0.13 0.09 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 58.5 3.9 1.40 251.9 379.9 0.3 5.3 **** **** **** 0.09 0.06 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 58.4 4.2 1.40 132.9 491.7 0.4 5.3 **** **** **** 0.11 0.08 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 57.8 4.5 1.42 47.1 569.0 0.5 5.2 **** **** **** 0.14 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 57.5 4.7 1.44 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.2 **** **** **** 0.16 0.11 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 56.9 4.6 1.45 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.2 **** **** **** 0.15 0.11 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 56.4 4.7 1.46 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.2 **** **** **** 0.17 0.12 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 56.0 4.9 1.46 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.19 0.13 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1000 03AM 56.0 5.0 1.47 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.19 0.14 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1100 04AM 55.8 5.1 1.47 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.20 0.14 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 55.5 5.2 1.47 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.2 **** **** **** 0.21 0.15 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 55.5 5.3 1.46 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.1 **** **** **** 0.22 0.15 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 55.1 5.4 1.46 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.1 **** **** **** 0.23 0.16 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 54.8 5.4 1.46 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.1 **** **** **** 0.23 0.16 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- *** GFS OUTPUT, MODEL RUN (date/time): 250715/1200 *** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 1: KPHX SURFACE BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (F) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1300 06AM 88.8 54.1 1.46 48.7 544.4 1.7 4.9 **** **** **** 0.69 0.48 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 88.8 54.6 1.44 51.3 560.2 1.7 4.8 **** **** **** 0.72 0.50 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 89.7 54.8 1.45 72.1 499.6 1.7 4.8 **** **** **** 0.72 0.51 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1600 09AM 91.1 55.5 1.48 140.4 385.6 1.8 4.8 **** **** **** 0.77 0.54 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 92.7 56.6 1.52 330.2 280.4 2.0 4.7 **** **** **** 0.85 0.60 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 94.5 58.2 1.57 693.2 191.8 2.2 4.6 **** **** **** 0.98 0.69 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1900 12PM 97.2 58.4 1.60 929.6 109.7 2.2 4.6 **** **** **** 0.98 0.69 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2000 01PM 99.2 57.3 1.58 903.6 85.7 1.9 4.7 **** **** **** 0.87 0.61 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 100.3 56.3 1.54 807.9 81.8 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.76 0.53 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 102.1 55.9 1.52 834.4 42.0 1.6 4.7 **** **** **** 0.71 0.50 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 102.6 55.3 1.49 699.0 33.0 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.65 0.46 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 102.8 54.8 1.52 622.7 0.8 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.63 0.44 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 102.3 54.8 1.52 571.8 0.8 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.64 0.45 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 101.0 55.9 1.52 585.9 38.3 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.73 0.51 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 98.1 57.2 1.55 559.7 100.2 1.9 4.7 **** **** **** 0.86 0.60 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 94.2 58.4 1.61 456.0 193.8 2.2 4.6 **** **** **** 1.03 0.72 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 500 10PM 82.8 66.3 1.80 887.9 292.8 4.0 4.2 **** **** **** 2.06 1.44 0.86 4.12 2.88 1.73 3 Elevated 600 11PM 83.7 65.8 1.84 862.0 278.6 3.9 4.2 **** **** **** 2.04 1.43 0.86 4.07 2.85 1.71 3 Elevated -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 2: KPHX 850MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1300 06AM 71.5 10.3 1.46 48.7 544.4 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.49 0.35 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 70.6 10.4 1.44 51.3 560.2 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.51 0.36 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 70.6 10.6 1.45 72.1 499.6 1.7 4.8 **** **** **** 0.52 0.37 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1600 09AM 70.2 11.1 1.48 140.4 385.6 1.9 4.8 **** **** **** 0.59 0.41 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 69.2 11.5 1.52 330.2 280.4 2.0 4.7 **** **** **** 0.66 0.46 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 70.1 12.2 1.57 693.2 191.8 2.2 4.6 **** **** **** 0.73 0.51 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 72.4 12.1 1.60 929.6 109.7 2.1 4.6 **** **** **** 0.72 0.50 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 74.0 11.5 1.58 903.6 85.7 1.9 4.7 **** **** **** 0.64 0.45 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 75.1 11.1 1.54 807.9 81.8 1.8 4.7 **** **** **** 0.58 0.40 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 76.5 10.9 1.52 834.4 42.0 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.54 0.38 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 77.3 10.6 1.49 699.0 33.0 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.49 0.34 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 77.6 10.3 1.52 622.7 0.8 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.47 0.33 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 77.6 10.3 1.52 571.8 0.8 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.48 0.33 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 76.9 10.8 1.52 585.9 38.3 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.53 0.37 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 75.6 11.2 1.55 559.7 100.2 1.8 4.7 **** **** **** 0.59 0.41 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 74.9 11.4 1.61 456.0 193.8 1.8 4.7 **** **** **** 0.64 0.45 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 71.1 12.6 1.80 887.9 292.8 2.3 4.6 **** **** **** 0.88 0.62 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 70.6 12.6 1.84 862.0 278.6 2.3 4.6 **** **** **** 0.91 0.64 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 3: KPHX 700MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1300 06AM 51.7 4.6 1.46 48.7 544.4 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.20 0.14 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 52.1 4.3 1.44 51.3 560.2 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.17 0.12 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 51.9 4.3 1.45 72.1 499.6 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.17 0.12 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1600 09AM 51.7 4.9 1.48 140.4 385.6 0.7 5.1 **** **** **** 0.22 0.15 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 51.7 5.1 1.52 330.2 280.4 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.25 0.17 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 52.6 4.6 1.57 693.2 191.8 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.20 0.14 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 52.8 4.4 1.60 929.6 109.7 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.19 0.13 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 53.1 4.2 1.58 903.6 85.7 0.5 5.2 **** **** **** 0.16 0.11 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 53.3 4.0 1.54 807.9 81.8 0.4 5.2 **** **** **** 0.14 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 50.6 7.2 1.52 834.4 42.0 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.43 0.30 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 50.8 7.4 1.49 699.0 33.0 1.4 4.8 **** **** **** 0.44 0.31 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 50.8 7.5 1.52 622.7 0.8 1.4 4.8 **** **** **** 0.46 0.32 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 50.8 7.6 1.52 571.8 0.8 1.4 4.8 **** **** **** 0.47 0.33 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 51.2 7.1 1.52 585.9 38.3 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.42 0.29 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 51.2 7.1 1.55 559.7 100.2 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.43 0.30 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 51.7 6.3 1.61 456.0 193.8 1.1 5.0 **** **** **** 0.37 0.26 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 51.3 6.8 1.80 887.9 292.8 1.2 4.9 **** **** **** 0.46 0.32 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 51.7 6.4 1.84 862.0 278.6 1.1 5.0 **** **** **** 0.43 0.30 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------