QPF MODEL OUTPUT Tue 16 Sep 2025 10:06:30 AM MST -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- *** HRRR OUTPUT, MODEL RUN (date/time): 250916/1500 *** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 1: KPHX SURFACE BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (F) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1600 09AM 90.2 49.4 1.10 0.0 0.0 0.9 5.2 **** **** **** 0.29 0.21 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 93.1 44.7 1.07 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.5 **** **** **** 0.08 0.06 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 96.3 43.0 1.07 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.6 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 99.0 45.2 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.4 **** **** **** 0.07 0.05 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 100.7 47.0 1.13 20.0 76.5 0.4 5.3 **** **** **** 0.13 0.09 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 101.9 47.7 1.14 29.9 39.2 0.5 5.2 **** **** **** 0.15 0.11 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 102.5 47.9 1.12 22.6 32.8 0.5 5.2 **** **** **** 0.16 0.11 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 102.5 47.4 1.07 8.4 35.1 0.4 5.3 **** **** **** 0.13 0.09 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 102.8 44.9 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.4 **** **** **** 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 101.6 46.3 1.02 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.3 **** **** **** 0.09 0.06 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 98.1 46.8 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.3 **** **** **** 0.13 0.09 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 95.3 46.4 1.06 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.3 **** **** **** 0.14 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 93.3 45.7 1.08 1.2 156.5 0.4 5.4 **** **** **** 0.12 0.08 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 90.9 45.9 1.12 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.4 **** **** **** 0.15 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 89.7 46.1 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.4 **** **** **** 0.16 0.11 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 87.7 46.7 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.3 **** **** **** 0.20 0.14 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 85.4 46.6 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.4 **** **** **** 0.21 0.14 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 85.4 46.7 1.04 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.3 **** **** **** 0.20 0.14 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 2: KPHX 850MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1600 09AM 75.8 6.8 1.10 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.3 **** **** **** 0.14 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 76.4 6.6 1.07 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.12 0.08 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 76.4 6.7 1.07 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.3 **** **** **** 0.13 0.09 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 77.1 6.9 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.3 **** **** **** 0.13 0.09 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 78.5 6.8 1.13 20.0 76.5 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.13 0.09 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 79.8 6.9 1.14 29.9 39.2 0.5 5.2 **** **** **** 0.13 0.09 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 80.7 6.9 1.12 22.6 32.8 0.5 5.2 **** **** **** 0.12 0.09 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 81.2 6.5 1.07 8.4 35.1 0.4 5.3 **** **** **** 0.09 0.06 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 81.9 5.3 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.4 **** **** **** 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 81.6 5.9 1.02 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.4 **** **** **** 0.05 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 81.6 6.2 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.3 **** **** **** 0.07 0.05 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 81.2 6.2 1.06 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.3 **** **** **** 0.08 0.05 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 81.0 6.8 1.08 1.2 156.5 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.11 0.08 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 80.7 6.9 1.12 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.2 **** **** **** 0.12 0.09 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 80.9 4.6 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 80.7 4.6 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 80.3 4.1 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 80.3 3.2 1.04 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 3: KPHX 700MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1600 09AM 49.4 2.6 1.10 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.4 **** **** **** 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 50.3 0.8 1.07 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 50.3 0.4 1.07 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 50.4 0.3 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 50.3 0.7 1.13 20.0 76.5 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 50.1 1.5 1.14 29.9 39.2 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 50.4 1.2 1.12 22.6 32.8 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 50.6 0.8 1.07 8.4 35.1 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 50.3 2.7 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.4 **** **** **** 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 51.2 -1.0 1.02 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 50.6 1.5 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 51.0 0.3 1.06 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 51.2 0.2 1.08 1.2 156.5 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 50.8 0.6 1.12 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 50.6 1.8 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 50.4 2.2 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.5 **** **** **** 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 50.1 2.4 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.4 **** **** **** 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 50.1 2.5 1.04 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.4 **** **** **** 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- *** RAP OUTPUT, MODEL RUN (date/time): 250916/1500 *** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 1: KPHX SURFACE BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (F) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1600 09AM 89.5 50.2 1.14 0.0 0.0 1.1 5.1 **** **** **** 0.35 0.24 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 93.3 48.4 1.13 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.2 **** **** **** 0.24 0.17 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 96.5 46.5 1.15 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.3 **** **** **** 0.14 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 98.3 47.4 1.15 5.4 153.1 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.17 0.12 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 99.8 49.5 1.17 53.9 88.2 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.25 0.18 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 100.8 50.0 1.15 68.2 53.3 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.26 0.18 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 101.6 50.0 1.12 91.0 37.2 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.25 0.18 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 101.6 49.9 1.11 108.1 29.5 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.24 0.17 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 101.4 49.9 1.09 102.9 39.9 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.24 0.17 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 100.3 50.7 1.10 137.8 57.2 0.9 5.1 **** **** **** 0.29 0.20 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 97.1 52.3 1.13 306.3 107.9 1.2 5.0 **** **** **** 0.39 0.27 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 94.2 53.3 1.15 333.6 156.4 1.4 4.9 **** **** **** 0.47 0.33 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 92.9 53.3 1.18 157.2 178.0 1.5 4.9 **** **** **** 0.49 0.34 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 91.8 53.0 1.17 53.1 188.5 1.4 4.9 **** **** **** 0.48 0.33 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 90.2 52.6 1.17 76.9 243.3 1.4 5.0 **** **** **** 0.46 0.33 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 87.3 53.5 1.42 914.1 261.0 1.6 4.9 **** **** **** 0.65 0.45 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 84.6 63.4 1.50 2703.4 203.8 3.4 4.4 **** **** **** 1.45 1.02 0.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 900 02AM 82.7 68.8 1.56 2789.4 151.7 4.5 4.1 **** **** **** 2.02 1.41 0.85 4.04 2.83 1.70 3 Elevated -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 2: KPHX 850MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1600 09AM 75.5 4.9 1.14 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.5 **** **** **** 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 75.6 5.7 1.13 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.4 **** **** **** 0.08 0.06 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 75.5 7.5 1.15 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.2 **** **** **** 0.19 0.13 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 76.2 8.7 1.15 5.4 153.1 1.0 5.0 **** **** **** 0.26 0.18 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 77.6 8.0 1.17 53.9 88.2 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.21 0.14 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 78.7 8.1 1.15 68.2 53.3 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.21 0.15 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 79.6 8.1 1.12 91.0 37.2 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.20 0.14 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 80.1 8.0 1.11 108.1 29.5 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.18 0.13 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 80.5 7.9 1.09 102.9 39.9 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.18 0.13 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 80.3 8.3 1.10 137.8 57.2 0.9 5.1 **** **** **** 0.20 0.14 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 79.8 9.0 1.13 306.3 107.9 1.0 5.0 **** **** **** 0.25 0.18 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 79.8 9.1 1.15 333.6 156.4 1.1 5.0 **** **** **** 0.26 0.19 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 79.8 8.9 1.18 157.2 178.0 1.0 5.0 **** **** **** 0.26 0.18 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 79.6 7.8 1.17 53.1 188.5 0.7 5.1 **** **** **** 0.18 0.13 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 79.6 5.1 1.17 76.9 243.3 0.1 5.5 **** **** **** 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 75.8 11.3 1.42 914.1 261.0 1.8 4.8 **** **** **** 0.54 0.38 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 76.0 11.7 1.50 2703.4 203.8 1.9 4.7 **** **** **** 0.60 0.42 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 73.3 14.2 1.56 2789.4 151.7 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 0.91 0.64 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 3: KPHX 700MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1600 09AM 55.1 6.0 1.14 0.0 0.0 0.9 5.1 **** **** **** 0.21 0.15 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 55.8 5.8 1.13 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.20 0.14 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 56.0 5.4 1.15 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.2 **** **** **** 0.17 0.12 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 56.4 4.8 1.15 5.4 153.1 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.14 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 56.0 4.9 1.17 53.9 88.2 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.15 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 56.4 4.5 1.15 68.2 53.3 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.12 0.08 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 56.7 3.9 1.12 91.0 37.2 0.3 5.3 **** **** **** 0.08 0.06 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 57.1 3.4 1.11 108.1 29.5 0.2 5.4 **** **** **** 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 57.6 2.8 1.09 102.9 39.9 0.1 5.5 **** **** **** 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 57.8 2.0 1.10 137.8 57.2 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 58.2 0.6 1.13 306.3 107.9 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 58.4 -0.4 1.15 333.6 156.4 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 58.5 -0.5 1.18 157.2 178.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 58.4 0.2 1.17 53.1 188.5 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 57.6 1.9 1.17 76.9 243.3 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 56.0 3.3 1.42 914.1 261.0 0.2 5.4 **** **** **** 0.07 0.05 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 56.2 2.9 1.50 2703.4 203.8 0.1 5.5 **** **** **** 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 56.0 2.2 1.56 2789.4 151.7 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- *** SREF (MEAN) OUTPUT, MODEL RUN (date/time): 250916/ 900 *** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 1: KPHX SURFACE BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (F) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1600 09AM 83.4 50.9 1.13 0.0 0.0 1.3 5.1 **** **** **** 0.42 0.29 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 86.1 50.7 1.12 0.0 0.0 1.2 5.1 **** **** **** 0.39 0.27 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 89.0 50.4 1.13 0.0 0.0 1.1 5.1 **** **** **** 0.35 0.25 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 91.5 49.8 1.13 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.1 **** **** **** 0.31 0.22 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 93.8 48.5 1.12 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.2 **** **** **** 0.24 0.17 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 95.4 47.9 1.11 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.20 0.14 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 96.5 48.0 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.19 0.14 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 97.2 48.1 1.06 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.19 0.13 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 97.4 48.1 1.03 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.18 0.13 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 97.1 48.7 1.00 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.2 **** **** **** 0.20 0.14 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 95.1 48.7 0.98 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.2 **** **** **** 0.21 0.15 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 92.7 49.0 0.97 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.2 **** **** **** 0.23 0.16 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 90.4 49.9 0.98 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.1 **** **** **** 0.28 0.20 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 88.1 51.2 0.99 0.0 0.0 1.2 5.0 **** **** **** 0.35 0.25 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 85.5 53.0 1.02 0.0 0.0 1.6 4.9 **** **** **** 0.46 0.32 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 83.9 54.4 1.05 0.0 0.0 1.8 4.9 **** **** **** 0.55 0.38 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 82.3 55.1 1.07 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.8 **** **** **** 0.60 0.42 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 81.0 55.5 1.07 0.0 0.0 2.1 4.8 **** **** **** 0.63 0.44 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 2: KPHX 850MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1600 09AM 73.3 3.7 1.13 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 73.3 3.9 1.12 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 73.1 4.6 1.13 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.5 **** **** **** 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 73.5 5.1 1.13 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.5 **** **** **** 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 74.0 6.4 1.12 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.13 0.09 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 74.9 6.8 1.11 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.3 **** **** **** 0.14 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 75.8 6.7 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.13 0.09 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 76.4 6.6 1.06 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.12 0.08 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 76.7 6.5 1.03 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.11 0.08 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 76.9 6.4 1.00 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.10 0.07 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 76.9 6.2 0.98 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.3 **** **** **** 0.09 0.06 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 76.7 5.9 0.97 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.3 **** **** **** 0.08 0.05 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 76.7 5.9 0.98 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.4 **** **** **** 0.07 0.05 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 76.5 5.8 0.99 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.4 **** **** **** 0.07 0.05 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 76.2 6.0 1.02 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.3 **** **** **** 0.09 0.06 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 75.8 6.5 1.05 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.12 0.08 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 75.1 7.3 1.07 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.2 **** **** **** 0.17 0.12 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 74.7 7.4 1.07 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.2 **** **** **** 0.17 0.12 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 3: KPHX 700MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1600 09AM 53.1 5.4 1.13 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.19 0.13 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 53.3 5.4 1.12 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.19 0.13 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 53.5 5.3 1.13 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.1 **** **** **** 0.18 0.13 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 53.7 5.1 1.13 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.2 **** **** **** 0.17 0.12 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 53.9 4.9 1.12 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.15 0.11 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 54.0 4.3 1.11 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.11 0.08 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 54.2 3.7 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.3 **** **** **** 0.08 0.06 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 54.2 3.2 1.06 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.4 **** **** **** 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 54.6 2.4 1.03 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.5 **** **** **** 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 54.9 1.6 1.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 54.9 1.0 0.98 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 54.8 0.7 0.97 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 54.6 0.4 0.98 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 54.4 0.3 0.99 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 53.9 0.4 1.02 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 53.7 0.7 1.05 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 53.3 0.8 1.07 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 53.3 1.0 1.07 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- *** GFS OUTPUT, MODEL RUN (date/time): 250916/ 600 *** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 1: KPHX SURFACE BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (F) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 700 12AM 93.1 48.5 1.05 2.1 213.0 0.8 5.2 **** **** **** 0.23 0.16 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 92.2 51.0 1.11 21.8 209.6 1.1 5.1 **** **** **** 0.35 0.25 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 91.5 51.5 1.11 3.0 246.0 1.2 5.0 **** **** **** 0.39 0.27 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1000 03AM 90.6 51.5 1.13 5.3 290.1 1.2 5.0 **** **** **** 0.40 0.28 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1100 04AM 89.7 50.2 1.16 0.0 0.0 1.1 5.1 **** **** **** 0.35 0.25 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 89.3 47.9 1.14 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.3 **** **** **** 0.25 0.17 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 89.1 45.2 1.12 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.4 **** **** **** 0.13 0.09 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 89.1 42.9 1.10 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.6 **** **** **** 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 90.0 41.2 1.09 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1600 09AM 91.3 40.3 1.09 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 92.9 40.0 1.09 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 94.7 40.9 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 96.3 43.4 1.09 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.5 **** **** **** 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 97.8 45.9 1.09 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.4 **** **** **** 0.10 0.07 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 99.0 47.2 1.10 13.4 74.8 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.15 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 99.8 48.0 1.08 14.1 59.5 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.17 0.12 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 100.1 47.8 1.08 16.3 47.8 0.5 5.2 **** **** **** 0.16 0.11 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 100.5 47.3 1.05 1.0 45.1 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.14 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 2: KPHX 850MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 700 12AM 73.8 5.4 1.05 2.1 213.0 0.3 5.4 **** **** **** 0.07 0.05 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 73.5 6.2 1.11 21.8 209.6 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.12 0.08 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 73.3 6.6 1.11 3.0 246.0 0.6 5.3 **** **** **** 0.14 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1000 03AM 73.1 6.6 1.13 5.3 290.1 0.6 5.3 **** **** **** 0.14 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1100 04AM 72.8 7.5 1.16 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.2 **** **** **** 0.20 0.14 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 72.2 8.4 1.14 0.0 0.0 1.1 5.0 **** **** **** 0.26 0.18 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 72.2 8.2 1.12 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.1 **** **** **** 0.24 0.17 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 72.2 8.3 1.10 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.1 **** **** **** 0.25 0.17 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 72.0 8.3 1.09 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.1 **** **** **** 0.24 0.17 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1600 09AM 72.0 8.2 1.09 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.1 **** **** **** 0.23 0.16 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 72.0 8.0 1.09 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.1 **** **** **** 0.23 0.16 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 72.6 7.9 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.9 5.1 **** **** **** 0.22 0.15 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 72.9 7.5 1.09 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.2 **** **** **** 0.19 0.13 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 73.5 5.9 1.09 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.3 **** **** **** 0.10 0.07 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 74.4 6.4 1.10 13.4 74.8 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.13 0.09 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 75.1 6.7 1.08 14.1 59.5 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.14 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 75.6 6.6 1.08 16.3 47.8 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.13 0.09 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 76.2 6.4 1.05 1.0 45.1 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.11 0.08 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 3: KPHX 700MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 700 12AM 50.6 0.3 1.05 2.1 213.0 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 50.1 1.2 1.11 21.8 209.6 0.0 0.0 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 50.3 1.9 1.11 3.0 246.0 0.0 5.5 **** **** **** 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1000 03AM 50.3 2.4 1.13 5.3 290.1 0.1 5.4 **** **** **** 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1100 04AM 49.9 3.3 1.16 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.3 **** **** **** 0.09 0.06 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 49.7 4.1 1.14 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.2 **** **** **** 0.13 0.09 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 49.9 4.0 1.12 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.12 0.09 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 50.1 3.9 1.10 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.11 0.08 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 49.9 3.9 1.09 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.12 0.08 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1600 09AM 49.5 4.3 1.09 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.14 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 49.4 4.3 1.09 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.14 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 49.9 3.9 1.08 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.12 0.08 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 50.3 3.9 1.09 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.11 0.08 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 50.8 3.6 1.09 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.3 **** **** **** 0.09 0.07 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 51.0 3.3 1.10 13.4 74.8 0.3 5.3 **** **** **** 0.08 0.05 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 51.3 2.5 1.08 14.1 59.5 0.1 5.4 **** **** **** 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 51.5 2.3 1.08 16.3 47.8 0.1 5.4 **** **** **** 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 51.5 2.0 1.05 1.0 45.1 0.0 5.5 **** **** **** 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------