QPF MODEL OUTPUT Thu 16 Jul 2026 02:06:31 AM MST -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- *** HRRR OUTPUT, MODEL RUN (date/time): 260716/ 700 *** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 1: KPHX SURFACE BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (F) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 800 01AM 89.5 66.2 1.97 677.0 182.0 3.8 4.2 **** **** **** 2.14 1.50 0.90 4.29 3.00 1.80 4 High 900 02AM 88.6 66.1 1.91 495.4 200.2 3.8 4.2 **** **** **** 2.09 1.46 0.88 4.17 2.92 1.75 3 Elevated 1000 03AM 87.3 67.5 1.89 447.3 248.0 4.1 4.2 **** **** **** 2.23 1.56 0.94 4.46 3.13 1.88 4 High 1100 04AM 86.8 68.2 1.84 558.2 276.0 4.3 4.1 **** **** **** 2.25 1.57 0.94 4.50 3.15 1.89 4 High 1200 05AM 86.8 67.7 1.87 560.1 286.9 4.2 4.1 **** **** **** 2.24 1.57 0.94 4.49 3.14 1.88 4 High 1300 06AM 87.0 66.3 1.88 233.8 339.4 3.9 4.2 **** **** **** 2.08 1.46 0.88 4.17 2.92 1.75 3 Elevated 1400 07AM 88.2 62.7 1.86 88.8 352.6 3.1 4.4 **** **** **** 1.67 1.17 0.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1500 08AM 88.6 62.4 1.86 79.1 292.8 3.1 4.4 **** **** **** 1.64 1.14 0.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1600 09AM 90.9 62.0 1.84 104.3 244.4 3.0 4.4 **** **** **** 1.56 1.09 0.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1700 10AM 93.8 60.7 1.86 95.0 158.6 2.6 4.5 **** **** **** 1.40 0.98 0.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1800 11AM 96.7 59.3 1.86 99.3 96.1 2.3 4.6 **** **** **** 1.23 0.86 0.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1900 12PM 98.9 58.9 1.88 163.8 48.0 2.2 4.6 **** **** **** 1.18 0.83 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2000 01PM 100.3 58.2 1.84 161.2 51.9 2.1 4.6 **** **** **** 1.08 0.76 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2100 02PM 101.6 57.7 1.79 172.4 51.9 1.9 4.6 **** **** **** 0.99 0.69 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2200 03PM 102.3 57.3 1.75 112.2 42.6 1.9 4.7 **** **** **** 0.93 0.65 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 103.2 56.3 1.72 49.2 21.5 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.82 0.57 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 103.2 55.3 1.65 40.6 30.0 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.72 0.50 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 103.5 57.3 1.80 261.4 1.0 1.8 4.7 **** **** **** 0.94 0.66 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 2: KPHX 850MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 800 01AM 75.6 12.1 1.97 677.0 182.0 2.0 4.7 **** **** **** 0.84 0.59 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 74.6 12.8 1.91 495.4 200.2 2.2 4.6 **** **** **** 0.92 0.64 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1000 03AM 75.8 11.5 1.89 447.3 248.0 1.8 4.7 **** **** **** 0.74 0.52 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1100 04AM 76.7 11.2 1.84 558.2 276.0 1.7 4.8 **** **** **** 0.67 0.47 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 75.6 11.7 1.87 560.1 286.9 1.9 4.7 **** **** **** 0.76 0.53 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 76.0 11.2 1.88 233.8 339.4 1.7 4.8 **** **** **** 0.69 0.48 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 76.5 10.3 1.86 88.8 352.6 1.5 4.9 **** **** **** 0.59 0.41 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 75.5 10.7 1.86 79.1 292.8 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.64 0.45 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1600 09AM 75.5 10.7 1.84 104.3 244.4 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.63 0.44 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 75.1 11.3 1.86 95.0 158.6 1.8 4.8 **** **** **** 0.71 0.49 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 76.0 11.9 1.86 99.3 96.1 1.9 4.7 **** **** **** 0.77 0.54 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 76.9 12.9 1.88 163.8 48.0 2.2 4.6 **** **** **** 0.90 0.63 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 78.0 12.6 1.84 161.2 51.9 2.1 4.6 **** **** **** 0.83 0.58 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 79.2 12.4 1.79 172.4 51.9 2.0 4.6 **** **** **** 0.77 0.54 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 80.1 12.1 1.75 112.2 42.6 1.9 4.7 **** **** **** 0.72 0.50 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 81.2 11.6 1.72 49.2 21.5 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.63 0.44 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 81.9 10.9 1.65 40.6 30.0 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.53 0.37 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 82.5 12.2 1.80 261.4 1.0 1.9 4.7 **** **** **** 0.72 0.50 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 3: KPHX 700MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 800 01AM 51.9 7.8 1.97 677.0 182.0 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.62 0.44 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 52.2 7.5 1.91 495.4 200.2 1.4 4.8 **** **** **** 0.57 0.40 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1000 03AM 51.3 7.1 1.89 447.3 248.0 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.52 0.36 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1100 04AM 51.3 7.2 1.84 558.2 276.0 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.51 0.36 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 52.6 6.1 1.87 560.1 286.9 1.0 5.0 **** **** **** 0.40 0.28 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 52.4 6.2 1.88 233.8 339.4 1.0 5.0 **** **** **** 0.41 0.28 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 52.2 6.1 1.86 88.8 352.6 1.0 5.0 **** **** **** 0.40 0.28 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 51.3 6.2 1.86 79.1 292.8 1.1 5.0 **** **** **** 0.42 0.29 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1600 09AM 51.2 6.8 1.84 104.3 244.4 1.2 4.9 **** **** **** 0.47 0.33 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 50.4 7.5 1.86 95.0 158.6 1.4 4.8 **** **** **** 0.57 0.40 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 50.3 7.2 1.86 99.3 96.1 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.53 0.37 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 51.2 6.3 1.88 163.8 48.0 1.1 5.0 **** **** **** 0.43 0.30 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 51.5 6.1 1.84 161.2 51.9 1.0 5.0 **** **** **** 0.40 0.28 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 52.4 4.4 1.79 172.4 51.9 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.21 0.15 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 52.1 4.8 1.75 112.2 42.6 0.7 5.1 **** **** **** 0.25 0.17 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 51.7 5.9 1.72 49.2 21.5 0.9 5.0 **** **** **** 0.35 0.24 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 52.1 5.1 1.65 40.6 30.0 0.7 5.1 **** **** **** 0.26 0.18 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 50.8 8.5 1.80 261.4 1.0 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.66 0.46 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- *** RAP OUTPUT, MODEL RUN (date/time): 260716/ 700 *** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 1: KPHX SURFACE BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (F) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 800 01AM 81.6 72.6 2.22 399.5 338.4 5.4 3.9 **** **** **** 3.45 2.42 1.45 6.90 4.83 2.90 4 High 900 02AM 80.0 73.1 2.15 482.4 327.7 5.6 3.9 **** **** **** 3.45 2.41 1.45 6.90 4.83 2.90 4 High 1000 03AM 79.4 72.7 2.06 462.2 341.3 5.5 3.9 **** **** **** 3.26 2.28 1.37 6.51 4.56 2.74 4 High 1100 04AM 79.4 73.1 2.03 496.3 312.0 5.6 3.9 **** **** **** 3.27 2.29 1.37 6.54 4.58 2.75 4 High 1200 05AM 79.4 74.2 2.03 512.3 286.1 5.9 3.9 **** **** **** 3.42 2.39 1.44 6.83 4.78 2.87 4 High 1300 06AM 79.6 75.0 2.06 518.9 263.2 6.1 3.8 **** **** **** 3.58 2.51 1.50 7.17 5.02 3.01 4 High 1400 07AM 80.5 73.8 2.07 558.7 264.2 5.8 3.9 **** **** **** 3.41 2.38 1.43 6.81 4.77 2.86 4 High 1500 08AM 81.6 73.3 2.06 700.0 256.4 5.6 3.9 **** **** **** 3.30 2.31 1.39 6.61 4.62 2.77 4 High 1600 09AM 82.1 74.4 2.08 1008.8 217.4 5.9 3.8 **** **** **** 3.48 2.43 1.46 6.95 4.87 2.92 4 High 1700 10AM 81.9 73.1 2.08 1151.1 207.2 5.6 3.9 **** **** **** 3.29 2.31 1.38 6.59 4.61 2.77 4 High 1800 11AM 81.6 74.2 2.05 1106.3 209.5 5.8 3.9 **** **** **** 3.40 2.38 1.43 6.81 4.76 2.86 4 High 1900 12PM 85.5 72.5 1.99 1231.3 188.2 5.3 3.9 **** **** **** 3.01 2.10 1.26 6.01 4.21 2.52 4 High 2000 01PM 91.3 68.4 1.93 1026.9 146.5 4.2 4.1 **** **** **** 2.33 1.63 0.98 4.66 3.26 1.96 4 High 2100 02PM 95.1 63.9 1.89 606.3 112.9 3.2 4.3 **** **** **** 1.72 1.21 0.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 2200 03PM 96.9 62.0 1.86 368.6 92.7 2.8 4.4 **** **** **** 1.48 1.04 0.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 2300 04PM 97.8 61.3 1.86 380.2 64.2 2.7 4.4 **** **** **** 1.42 0.99 0.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 0 05PM 97.8 62.8 1.92 784.3 41.1 2.9 4.4 **** **** **** 1.61 1.13 0.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 100 06PM 97.6 64.6 1.99 1256.3 30.6 3.3 4.3 **** **** **** 1.86 1.30 0.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 3 Elevated -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 2: KPHX 850MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 800 01AM 77.3 15.5 2.22 399.5 338.4 3.1 4.3 **** **** **** 1.46 1.02 0.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 900 02AM 73.8 15.9 2.15 482.4 327.7 3.3 4.3 **** **** **** 1.52 1.06 0.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1000 03AM 73.3 14.7 2.06 462.2 341.3 2.9 4.4 **** **** **** 1.28 0.89 0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1100 04AM 72.9 14.8 2.03 496.3 312.0 2.9 4.4 **** **** **** 1.27 0.89 0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1200 05AM 73.7 14.8 2.03 512.3 286.1 2.9 4.4 **** **** **** 1.28 0.89 0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1300 06AM 73.7 14.9 2.06 518.9 263.2 2.9 4.4 **** **** **** 1.30 0.91 0.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1400 07AM 74.0 14.2 2.07 558.7 264.2 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.20 0.84 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1500 08AM 74.4 13.4 2.06 700.0 256.4 2.4 4.5 **** **** **** 1.08 0.75 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1600 09AM 74.4 13.4 2.08 1008.8 217.4 2.4 4.5 **** **** **** 1.09 0.76 0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1700 10AM 74.4 13.6 2.08 1151.1 207.2 2.5 4.5 **** **** **** 1.12 0.79 0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1800 11AM 74.6 13.4 2.05 1106.3 209.5 2.4 4.5 **** **** **** 1.07 0.75 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1900 12PM 74.9 12.7 1.99 1231.3 188.2 2.2 4.6 **** **** **** 0.94 0.66 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 74.9 12.5 1.93 1026.9 146.5 2.2 4.6 **** **** **** 0.90 0.63 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 74.7 13.7 1.89 606.3 112.9 2.5 4.5 **** **** **** 1.03 0.72 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2200 03PM 75.6 13.4 1.86 368.6 92.7 2.4 4.5 **** **** **** 0.96 0.67 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2300 04PM 76.2 13.9 1.86 380.2 64.2 2.6 4.5 **** **** **** 1.02 0.72 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 0 05PM 76.5 14.9 1.92 784.3 41.1 2.9 4.4 **** **** **** 1.19 0.83 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 100 06PM 76.7 15.9 1.99 1256.3 30.6 3.2 4.3 **** **** **** 1.38 0.97 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 3: KPHX 700MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 800 01AM 57.6 10.3 2.22 399.5 338.4 2.0 4.6 **** **** **** 0.97 0.68 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 900 02AM 58.9 9.1 2.15 482.4 327.7 1.6 4.7 **** **** **** 0.75 0.53 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1000 03AM 59.1 7.8 2.06 462.2 341.3 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.56 0.39 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1100 04AM 58.4 8.1 2.03 496.3 312.0 1.4 4.8 **** **** **** 0.60 0.42 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 57.8 8.6 2.03 512.3 286.1 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.66 0.46 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 57.3 9.0 2.06 518.9 263.2 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.74 0.52 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 57.1 9.0 2.07 558.7 264.2 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.73 0.51 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 56.9 9.2 2.06 700.0 256.4 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.76 0.53 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1600 09AM 56.4 9.7 2.08 1008.8 217.4 1.9 4.7 **** **** **** 0.84 0.59 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 55.7 10.3 2.08 1151.1 207.2 2.1 4.6 **** **** **** 0.93 0.65 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 55.1 10.6 2.05 1106.3 209.5 2.2 4.6 **** **** **** 0.97 0.68 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1900 12PM 55.5 10.4 1.99 1231.3 188.2 2.1 4.6 **** **** **** 0.90 0.63 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 56.4 9.6 1.93 1026.9 146.5 1.8 4.7 **** **** **** 0.77 0.54 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 56.9 8.9 1.89 606.3 112.9 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.66 0.46 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 56.9 8.5 1.86 368.6 92.7 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.60 0.42 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 56.7 8.3 1.86 380.2 64.2 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.59 0.41 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 56.7 8.1 1.92 784.3 41.1 1.4 4.8 **** **** **** 0.59 0.41 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 56.7 8.2 1.99 1256.3 30.6 1.4 4.8 **** **** **** 0.62 0.43 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- *** SREF (MEAN) OUTPUT, MODEL RUN (date/time): 260716/ 300 *** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 1: KPHX SURFACE BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (F) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1000 03AM 82.5 69.6 1.97 616.8 312.0 4.7 4.0 **** **** **** 2.68 1.87 1.12 5.35 3.75 2.25 4 High 1100 04AM 82.1 69.6 1.99 590.2 294.6 4.8 4.0 **** **** **** 2.69 1.89 1.13 5.39 3.77 2.26 4 High 1200 05AM 82.1 69.5 2.00 556.0 282.0 4.7 4.1 **** **** **** 2.70 1.89 1.13 5.40 3.78 2.27 4 High 1300 06AM 81.9 69.4 2.00 516.2 278.0 4.7 4.1 **** **** **** 2.69 1.88 1.13 5.38 3.77 2.26 4 High 1400 07AM 83.0 69.3 2.00 524.5 260.5 4.7 4.1 **** **** **** 2.67 1.87 1.12 5.33 3.73 2.24 4 High 1500 08AM 85.2 68.6 1.99 575.3 229.8 4.4 4.1 **** **** **** 2.53 1.77 1.06 5.05 3.54 2.12 4 High 1600 09AM 87.7 67.5 1.98 647.3 190.4 4.1 4.1 **** **** **** 2.34 1.64 0.98 4.68 3.27 1.96 4 High 1700 10AM 90.0 66.4 1.98 725.4 158.9 3.8 4.2 **** **** **** 2.17 1.52 0.91 4.34 3.04 1.82 4 High 1800 11AM 92.0 65.6 1.98 730.5 122.1 3.6 4.2 **** **** **** 2.05 1.44 0.86 4.11 2.87 1.72 3 Elevated 1900 12PM 93.6 64.7 1.98 698.5 92.5 3.4 4.3 **** **** **** 1.92 1.35 0.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 3 Elevated 2000 01PM 95.1 64.1 1.98 707.8 71.4 3.3 4.3 **** **** **** 1.84 1.29 0.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 3 Elevated 2100 02PM 96.0 63.7 1.96 690.2 65.6 3.1 4.3 **** **** **** 1.76 1.23 0.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 2200 03PM 97.1 63.1 1.94 643.0 56.0 3.0 4.3 **** **** **** 1.67 1.17 0.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 2300 04PM 97.8 62.6 1.93 607.5 51.5 2.9 4.4 **** **** **** 1.60 1.12 0.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 0 05PM 98.0 62.3 1.93 595.7 49.8 2.8 4.4 **** **** **** 1.57 1.10 0.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 100 06PM 97.6 62.5 1.94 587.1 61.8 2.9 4.4 **** **** **** 1.60 1.12 0.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 200 07PM 96.5 63.2 1.95 536.0 76.5 3.0 4.3 **** **** **** 1.69 1.18 0.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 300 08PM 94.9 63.9 1.96 543.0 87.1 3.2 4.3 **** **** **** 1.81 1.26 0.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 3 Elevated -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 2: KPHX 850MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1000 03AM 74.6 14.1 1.97 616.8 312.0 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.12 0.79 0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1100 04AM 74.0 14.1 1.99 590.2 294.6 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.14 0.80 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1200 05AM 73.7 14.1 2.00 556.0 282.0 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.15 0.81 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1300 06AM 73.5 14.0 2.00 516.2 278.0 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.15 0.80 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1400 07AM 73.3 14.0 2.00 524.5 260.5 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.15 0.81 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1500 08AM 73.1 14.0 1.99 575.3 229.8 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.15 0.80 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1600 09AM 73.1 13.9 1.98 647.3 190.4 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.13 0.79 0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1700 10AM 73.3 14.1 1.98 725.4 158.9 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.15 0.80 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1800 11AM 73.7 14.5 1.98 730.5 122.1 2.8 4.4 **** **** **** 1.20 0.84 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1900 12PM 74.2 14.6 1.98 698.5 92.5 2.9 4.4 **** **** **** 1.21 0.85 0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2000 01PM 75.1 14.8 1.98 707.8 71.4 2.9 4.4 **** **** **** 1.23 0.86 0.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2100 02PM 76.0 14.7 1.96 690.2 65.6 2.8 4.4 **** **** **** 1.19 0.83 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2200 03PM 76.9 14.4 1.94 643.0 56.0 2.7 4.4 **** **** **** 1.13 0.79 0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2300 04PM 77.6 14.1 1.93 607.5 51.5 2.6 4.5 **** **** **** 1.07 0.75 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 0 05PM 77.8 13.9 1.93 595.7 49.8 2.5 4.5 **** **** **** 1.05 0.73 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 100 06PM 78.0 13.9 1.94 587.1 61.8 2.5 4.5 **** **** **** 1.04 0.73 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 200 07PM 77.8 13.9 1.95 536.0 76.5 2.5 4.5 **** **** **** 1.05 0.74 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 300 08PM 77.4 14.0 1.96 543.0 87.1 2.6 4.5 **** **** **** 1.08 0.76 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 3: KPHX 700MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1000 03AM 57.5 7.9 1.97 616.8 312.0 1.3 4.8 **** **** **** 0.57 0.40 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1100 04AM 56.9 8.0 1.99 590.2 294.6 1.4 4.8 **** **** **** 0.59 0.41 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 56.7 8.1 2.00 556.0 282.0 1.4 4.8 **** **** **** 0.61 0.43 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 56.6 8.1 2.00 516.2 278.0 1.4 4.8 **** **** **** 0.61 0.43 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 56.0 8.3 2.00 524.5 260.5 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.64 0.45 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 55.8 8.4 1.99 575.3 229.8 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.65 0.45 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1600 09AM 55.8 8.4 1.98 647.3 190.4 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.64 0.45 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 56.0 8.1 1.98 725.4 158.9 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.62 0.43 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 55.8 8.0 1.98 730.5 122.1 1.4 4.8 **** **** **** 0.60 0.42 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 55.7 7.9 1.98 698.5 92.5 1.4 4.8 **** **** **** 0.59 0.42 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 55.7 8.3 1.98 707.8 71.4 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.64 0.45 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 55.5 8.5 1.96 690.2 65.6 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.66 0.46 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 55.7 8.6 1.94 643.0 56.0 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.67 0.47 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 55.8 8.9 1.93 607.5 51.5 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.69 0.48 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 55.7 9.3 1.93 595.7 49.8 1.8 4.7 **** **** **** 0.74 0.52 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 55.7 9.6 1.94 587.1 61.8 1.9 4.6 **** **** **** 0.79 0.55 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 55.7 9.7 1.95 536.0 76.5 1.9 4.6 **** **** **** 0.81 0.57 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 55.3 9.9 1.96 543.0 87.1 2.0 4.6 **** **** **** 0.84 0.59 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- *** GFS OUTPUT, MODEL RUN (date/time): 260716/ 0 *** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 1: KPHX SURFACE BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (F) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 100 06PM 103.2 58.9 1.76 612.0 16.1 2.1 4.6 **** **** **** 1.06 0.74 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 200 07PM 93.8 62.6 1.89 456.8 301.1 3.0 4.4 **** **** **** 1.61 1.13 0.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 300 08PM 95.3 61.8 1.89 471.4 187.1 2.8 4.4 **** **** **** 1.51 1.06 0.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 400 09PM 90.8 63.2 1.95 388.1 299.4 3.2 4.4 **** **** **** 1.77 1.24 0.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 500 10PM 91.5 63.6 1.94 607.8 319.1 3.2 4.3 **** **** **** 1.79 1.25 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 3 Elevated 600 11PM 91.8 63.2 1.92 666.1 302.7 3.2 4.4 **** **** **** 1.73 1.21 0.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 700 12AM 91.8 62.8 1.91 653.8 312.1 3.1 4.4 **** **** **** 1.68 1.18 0.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 800 01AM 92.4 62.2 1.91 583.0 253.6 3.0 4.4 **** **** **** 1.61 1.13 0.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 900 02AM 92.6 61.5 1.86 448.0 239.6 2.8 4.4 **** **** **** 1.50 1.05 0.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1000 03AM 92.2 61.2 1.83 369.1 239.5 2.8 4.5 **** **** **** 1.45 1.01 0.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1100 04AM 91.1 60.9 1.81 260.7 273.2 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.42 1.00 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1200 05AM 90.6 61.0 1.83 208.6 272.6 2.8 4.5 **** **** **** 1.45 1.01 0.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1300 06AM 90.4 61.1 1.85 218.2 258.6 2.8 4.5 **** **** **** 1.48 1.04 0.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1400 07AM 90.8 61.2 1.87 258.1 240.9 2.8 4.5 **** **** **** 1.50 1.05 0.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1500 08AM 91.5 61.4 1.86 327.1 210.0 2.8 4.4 **** **** **** 1.51 1.06 0.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1600 09AM 92.6 61.4 1.87 381.3 163.8 2.8 4.4 **** **** **** 1.49 1.05 0.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1700 10AM 93.8 61.2 1.87 455.5 124.6 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.46 1.02 0.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1800 11AM 95.4 60.8 1.87 555.6 101.4 2.6 4.5 **** **** **** 1.40 0.98 0.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 2: KPHX 850MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 100 06PM 78.7 12.0 1.76 612.0 16.1 1.9 4.6 **** **** **** 0.73 0.51 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 77.8 12.6 1.89 456.8 301.1 2.1 4.6 **** **** **** 0.85 0.60 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 74.7 13.3 1.89 471.4 187.1 2.4 4.5 **** **** **** 0.98 0.68 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 400 09PM 73.8 13.6 1.95 388.1 299.4 2.5 4.5 **** **** **** 1.06 0.74 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 500 10PM 76.4 12.7 1.94 607.8 319.1 2.2 4.6 **** **** **** 0.91 0.64 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 76.5 12.6 1.92 666.1 302.7 2.1 4.6 **** **** **** 0.88 0.62 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 77.1 12.0 1.91 653.8 312.1 2.0 4.6 **** **** **** 0.80 0.56 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 74.9 12.6 1.91 583.0 253.6 2.2 4.6 **** **** **** 0.90 0.63 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 73.7 12.8 1.86 448.0 239.6 2.3 4.6 **** **** **** 0.91 0.63 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1000 03AM 73.7 12.2 1.83 369.1 239.5 2.1 4.6 **** **** **** 0.83 0.58 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1100 04AM 74.0 11.5 1.81 260.7 273.2 1.9 4.7 **** **** **** 0.74 0.51 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 73.3 11.6 1.83 208.6 272.6 1.9 4.7 **** **** **** 0.76 0.53 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 72.8 11.9 1.85 218.2 258.6 2.0 4.7 **** **** **** 0.81 0.56 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 71.9 12.4 1.87 258.1 240.9 2.2 4.6 **** **** **** 0.88 0.62 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 71.7 12.5 1.86 327.1 210.0 2.2 4.6 **** **** **** 0.90 0.63 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1600 09AM 70.8 13.0 1.87 381.3 163.8 2.4 4.5 **** **** **** 0.98 0.68 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1700 10AM 70.4 13.6 1.87 455.5 124.6 2.6 4.5 **** **** **** 1.05 0.74 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1800 11AM 71.3 13.5 1.87 555.6 101.4 2.6 4.5 **** **** **** 1.04 0.72 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 3: KPHX 700MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 100 06PM 52.8 8.5 1.76 612.0 16.1 1.7 4.7 **** **** **** 0.63 0.44 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 53.3 8.3 1.89 456.8 301.1 1.6 4.7 **** **** **** 0.64 0.44 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 53.5 8.0 1.89 471.4 187.1 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.60 0.42 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 53.9 7.4 1.95 388.1 299.4 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.54 0.38 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 500 10PM 53.9 7.2 1.94 607.8 319.1 1.2 4.9 **** **** **** 0.52 0.36 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 600 11PM 54.0 7.1 1.92 666.1 302.7 1.2 4.9 **** **** **** 0.50 0.35 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 700 12AM 53.9 7.1 1.91 653.8 312.1 1.2 4.9 **** **** **** 0.50 0.35 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 53.7 7.2 1.91 583.0 253.6 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.51 0.36 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 53.7 7.2 1.86 448.0 239.6 1.2 4.9 **** **** **** 0.50 0.35 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1000 03AM 53.3 7.2 1.83 369.1 239.5 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.49 0.34 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1100 04AM 53.1 6.9 1.81 260.7 273.2 1.2 4.9 **** **** **** 0.46 0.32 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 53.1 6.6 1.83 208.6 272.6 1.1 4.9 **** **** **** 0.44 0.31 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 53.0 6.6 1.85 218.2 258.6 1.1 4.9 **** **** **** 0.44 0.31 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 53.1 6.6 1.87 258.1 240.9 1.1 4.9 **** **** **** 0.44 0.31 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 53.1 6.6 1.86 327.1 210.0 1.1 4.9 **** **** **** 0.44 0.31 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1600 09AM 52.6 6.8 1.87 381.3 163.8 1.2 4.9 **** **** **** 0.46 0.32 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 52.2 7.0 1.87 455.5 124.6 1.2 4.9 **** **** **** 0.49 0.35 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 52.1 6.9 1.87 555.6 101.4 1.2 4.9 **** **** **** 0.49 0.34 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------