QPF MODEL OUTPUT Thu 18 Sep 2025 05:06:31 AM MST -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- *** HRRR OUTPUT, MODEL RUN (date/time): 250918/1000 *** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 1: KPHX SURFACE BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (F) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1100 04AM 86.8 60.3 1.75 332.7 217.4 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.37 0.96 0.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1200 05AM 86.3 60.6 1.79 324.2 200.8 2.8 4.5 **** **** **** 1.44 1.01 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1300 06AM 85.0 61.8 1.80 334.9 205.0 3.1 4.4 **** **** **** 1.57 1.10 0.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1400 07AM 84.6 62.1 1.83 354.1 210.8 3.1 4.4 **** **** **** 1.63 1.14 0.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1500 08AM 86.1 61.8 1.81 334.6 196.9 3.0 4.4 **** **** **** 1.57 1.10 0.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1600 09AM 88.6 61.4 1.81 452.2 142.2 2.9 4.5 **** **** **** 1.50 1.05 0.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1700 10AM 90.4 61.5 1.79 572.1 97.3 2.9 4.5 **** **** **** 1.47 1.03 0.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1800 11AM 92.7 61.0 1.77 686.2 63.7 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.38 0.96 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1900 12PM 94.9 60.1 1.74 709.0 46.0 2.5 4.5 **** **** **** 1.25 0.87 0.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2000 01PM 96.5 59.3 1.69 697.9 32.2 2.3 4.6 **** **** **** 1.13 0.79 0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2100 02PM 98.1 57.5 1.58 528.5 20.7 2.0 4.7 **** **** **** 0.90 0.63 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 99.4 55.7 1.54 393.0 4.7 1.7 4.8 **** **** **** 0.74 0.52 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 99.6 55.0 1.58 380.2 2.0 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.70 0.49 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 98.5 56.5 1.63 488.7 14.0 1.8 4.7 **** **** **** 0.85 0.59 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 97.1 59.3 1.72 814.0 33.8 2.3 4.6 **** **** **** 1.14 0.80 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 200 07PM 96.7 58.5 1.68 652.0 39.4 2.2 4.6 **** **** **** 1.05 0.73 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 300 08PM 95.8 58.4 1.78 599.8 48.4 2.2 4.6 **** **** **** 1.11 0.78 0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 400 09PM 85.9 62.8 1.75 263.1 235.1 3.2 4.4 **** **** **** 1.61 1.13 0.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 2: KPHX 850MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1100 04AM 71.9 13.8 1.75 332.7 217.4 2.6 4.5 **** **** **** 0.99 0.69 0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1200 05AM 71.1 13.9 1.79 324.2 200.8 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.03 0.72 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1300 06AM 71.3 13.8 1.80 334.9 205.0 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.03 0.72 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1400 07AM 70.4 13.9 1.83 354.1 210.8 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.06 0.74 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1500 08AM 70.6 13.7 1.81 334.6 196.9 2.6 4.5 **** **** **** 1.03 0.72 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1600 09AM 70.6 13.6 1.81 452.2 142.2 2.6 4.5 **** **** **** 1.01 0.71 0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1700 10AM 70.6 13.8 1.79 572.1 97.3 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.03 0.72 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1800 11AM 71.9 13.6 1.77 686.2 63.7 2.6 4.5 **** **** **** 0.97 0.68 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1900 12PM 73.1 13.4 1.74 709.0 46.0 2.5 4.6 **** **** **** 0.92 0.65 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 74.7 13.1 1.69 697.9 32.2 2.3 4.6 **** **** **** 0.85 0.59 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 76.4 12.0 1.58 528.5 20.7 2.0 4.7 **** **** **** 0.67 0.47 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 77.6 10.9 1.54 393.0 4.7 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.54 0.37 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 78.3 10.8 1.58 380.2 2.0 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.53 0.37 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 78.0 11.6 1.63 488.7 14.0 1.8 4.7 **** **** **** 0.63 0.44 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 77.4 12.8 1.72 814.0 33.8 2.2 4.6 **** **** **** 0.80 0.56 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 77.4 12.2 1.68 652.0 39.4 2.0 4.7 **** **** **** 0.71 0.50 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 77.3 12.4 1.78 599.8 48.4 2.1 4.6 **** **** **** 0.79 0.55 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 74.2 13.0 1.75 263.1 235.1 2.3 4.6 **** **** **** 0.87 0.61 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 3: KPHX 700MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1100 04AM 49.2 5.3 1.75 332.7 217.4 0.9 5.1 **** **** **** 0.32 0.23 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 48.8 5.9 1.79 324.2 200.8 1.0 5.0 **** **** **** 0.40 0.28 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 48.6 5.8 1.80 334.9 205.0 1.0 5.0 **** **** **** 0.38 0.27 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 48.6 5.6 1.83 354.1 210.8 0.9 5.1 **** **** **** 0.37 0.26 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 48.6 4.9 1.81 334.6 196.9 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.30 0.21 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1600 09AM 48.5 5.2 1.81 452.2 142.2 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.33 0.23 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 48.3 5.3 1.79 572.1 97.3 0.9 5.1 **** **** **** 0.34 0.24 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 47.9 5.2 1.77 686.2 63.7 0.9 5.1 **** **** **** 0.33 0.23 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 47.9 4.7 1.74 709.0 46.0 0.7 5.2 **** **** **** 0.27 0.19 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 47.7 4.2 1.69 697.9 32.2 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.22 0.16 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 47.7 4.3 1.58 528.5 20.7 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.22 0.15 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 47.6 5.3 1.54 393.0 4.7 0.9 5.1 **** **** **** 0.30 0.21 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 47.2 6.8 1.58 380.2 2.0 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.44 0.31 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 48.1 6.9 1.63 488.7 14.0 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.46 0.32 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 48.8 6.2 1.72 814.0 33.8 1.1 5.0 **** **** **** 0.41 0.29 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 48.8 6.1 1.68 652.0 39.4 1.1 5.0 **** **** **** 0.38 0.27 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 47.4 7.4 1.78 599.8 48.4 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.56 0.40 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 47.9 6.9 1.75 263.1 235.1 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.50 0.35 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- *** RAP OUTPUT, MODEL RUN (date/time): 250918/1000 *** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 1: KPHX SURFACE BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (F) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1100 04AM 84.1 62.7 1.66 62.7 267.9 3.3 4.4 **** **** **** 1.55 1.09 0.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 1200 05AM 81.6 68.7 1.73 223.8 229.6 4.6 4.1 **** **** **** 2.26 1.58 0.95 4.52 3.17 1.90 4 High 1300 06AM 79.6 70.6 1.79 489.6 214.1 5.0 4.0 **** **** **** 2.58 1.81 1.08 5.16 3.61 2.17 4 High 1400 07AM 78.7 70.8 1.83 715.8 176.0 5.1 4.0 **** **** **** 2.67 1.87 1.12 5.35 3.74 2.25 4 High 1500 08AM 78.5 70.4 1.86 821.3 132.0 5.0 4.0 **** **** **** 2.67 1.87 1.12 5.33 3.73 2.24 4 High 1600 09AM 80.3 69.7 1.86 982.2 118.9 4.8 4.1 **** **** **** 2.56 1.79 1.07 5.11 3.58 2.15 4 High 1700 10AM 82.7 68.3 1.85 1141.0 112.3 4.4 4.1 **** **** **** 2.34 1.64 0.98 4.68 3.28 1.97 4 High 1800 11AM 85.4 67.2 1.86 1265.1 86.8 4.1 4.2 **** **** **** 2.19 1.53 0.92 4.38 3.07 1.84 4 High 1900 12PM 88.1 65.9 1.84 1198.8 63.9 3.8 4.2 **** **** **** 1.98 1.39 0.83 3.96 2.77 1.66 3 Elevated 2000 01PM 90.6 64.4 1.80 1131.2 50.1 3.4 4.3 **** **** **** 1.75 1.23 0.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 2100 02PM 92.7 62.8 1.77 1036.7 27.1 3.1 4.4 **** **** **** 1.55 1.08 0.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 2200 03PM 93.8 61.9 1.74 999.5 16.6 2.9 4.4 **** **** **** 1.42 1.00 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2300 04PM 94.5 61.4 1.77 992.8 13.8 2.7 4.4 **** **** **** 1.39 0.97 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 0 05PM 94.0 61.3 1.77 991.0 27.8 2.8 4.4 **** **** **** 1.40 0.98 0.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 100 06PM 93.3 61.8 1.74 1038.3 33.7 2.9 4.4 **** **** **** 1.42 1.00 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 200 07PM 90.9 63.7 1.86 1247.0 45.4 3.3 4.3 **** **** **** 1.74 1.22 0.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 300 08PM 85.4 68.6 1.92 1390.5 86.5 4.4 4.1 **** **** **** 2.42 1.70 1.02 4.84 3.39 2.03 4 High 400 09PM 81.8 73.5 1.90 1486.6 109.5 5.7 3.9 **** **** **** 3.08 2.15 1.29 6.16 4.31 2.59 4 High -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 2: KPHX 850MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1100 04AM 69.9 12.1 1.66 62.7 267.9 2.1 4.7 **** **** **** 0.76 0.53 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 69.2 12.8 1.73 223.8 229.6 2.4 4.6 **** **** **** 0.88 0.62 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 69.3 12.9 1.79 489.6 214.1 2.4 4.6 **** **** **** 0.93 0.65 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 69.2 13.3 1.83 715.8 176.0 2.5 4.6 **** **** **** 1.00 0.70 0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1500 08AM 67.9 14.2 1.86 821.3 132.0 2.9 4.5 **** **** **** 1.15 0.80 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1600 09AM 68.3 14.2 1.86 982.2 118.9 2.9 4.5 **** **** **** 1.14 0.80 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1700 10AM 69.0 13.4 1.85 1141.0 112.3 2.6 4.6 **** **** **** 1.02 0.71 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1800 11AM 69.0 13.4 1.86 1265.1 86.8 2.6 4.6 **** **** **** 1.03 0.72 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1900 12PM 68.4 14.8 1.84 1198.8 63.9 3.1 4.4 **** **** **** 1.20 0.84 0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2000 01PM 70.1 14.1 1.80 1131.2 50.1 2.8 4.5 **** **** **** 1.08 0.75 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2100 02PM 71.1 14.7 1.77 1036.7 27.1 2.9 4.4 **** **** **** 1.12 0.79 0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2200 03PM 72.4 14.4 1.74 999.5 16.6 2.8 4.4 **** **** **** 1.04 0.73 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2300 04PM 73.3 14.1 1.77 992.8 13.8 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.02 0.71 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 0 05PM 73.5 14.1 1.77 991.0 27.8 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.03 0.72 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 100 06PM 73.3 14.5 1.74 1038.3 33.7 2.8 4.4 **** **** **** 1.06 0.74 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 200 07PM 72.4 15.0 1.86 1247.0 45.4 3.0 4.4 **** **** **** 1.21 0.85 0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 300 08PM 70.8 15.9 1.92 1390.5 86.5 3.4 4.3 **** **** **** 1.39 0.98 0.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 400 09PM 70.6 15.9 1.90 1486.6 109.5 3.4 4.3 **** **** **** 1.39 0.97 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 3: KPHX 700MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1100 04AM 54.2 7.0 1.66 62.7 267.9 1.2 5.0 **** **** **** 0.42 0.29 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 53.5 7.4 1.73 223.8 229.6 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.49 0.34 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 53.1 7.5 1.79 489.6 214.1 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.51 0.36 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 52.8 7.8 1.83 715.8 176.0 1.4 4.9 **** **** **** 0.55 0.39 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 52.2 8.0 1.86 821.3 132.0 1.5 4.9 **** **** **** 0.59 0.41 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1600 09AM 52.2 8.1 1.86 982.2 118.9 1.5 4.9 **** **** **** 0.60 0.42 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 52.4 8.1 1.85 1141.0 112.3 1.5 4.9 **** **** **** 0.60 0.42 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 52.4 8.2 1.86 1265.1 86.8 1.5 4.8 **** **** **** 0.61 0.43 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 52.8 7.9 1.84 1198.8 63.9 1.5 4.9 **** **** **** 0.57 0.40 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 53.3 7.2 1.80 1131.2 50.1 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.48 0.34 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 53.3 6.7 1.77 1036.7 27.1 1.1 5.0 **** **** **** 0.43 0.30 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 52.4 7.6 1.74 999.5 16.6 1.4 4.9 **** **** **** 0.51 0.36 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 52.4 8.2 1.77 992.8 13.8 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.59 0.41 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 53.7 7.6 1.77 991.0 27.8 1.4 4.9 **** **** **** 0.51 0.36 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 53.9 7.4 1.74 1038.3 33.7 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.48 0.34 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 52.8 8.4 1.86 1247.0 45.4 1.6 4.8 **** **** **** 0.64 0.45 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 52.6 8.8 1.92 1390.5 86.5 1.7 4.8 **** **** **** 0.70 0.49 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 400 09PM 53.1 8.7 1.90 1486.6 109.5 1.7 4.8 **** **** **** 0.68 0.48 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- *** SREF (MEAN) OUTPUT, MODEL RUN (date/time): 250918/ 300 *** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 1: KPHX SURFACE BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (F) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1000 03AM 80.5 67.1 1.72 765.6 180.7 4.2 4.2 **** **** **** 2.09 1.46 0.88 4.17 2.92 1.75 3 Elevated 1100 04AM 79.6 67.5 1.74 795.7 168.7 4.4 4.2 **** **** **** 2.17 1.52 0.91 4.33 3.03 1.82 4 High 1200 05AM 79.1 67.7 1.74 758.4 169.3 4.4 4.1 **** **** **** 2.19 1.53 0.92 4.38 3.07 1.84 4 High 1300 06AM 78.3 67.8 1.74 799.8 161.7 4.5 4.1 **** **** **** 2.22 1.56 0.93 4.45 3.11 1.87 4 High 1400 07AM 78.0 68.0 1.74 844.6 166.4 4.5 4.1 **** **** **** 2.25 1.57 0.94 4.50 3.15 1.89 4 High 1500 08AM 80.0 68.2 1.74 900.5 158.7 4.5 4.1 **** **** **** 2.23 1.56 0.94 4.46 3.12 1.87 4 High 1600 09AM 82.1 67.7 1.72 965.0 134.8 4.3 4.1 **** **** **** 2.13 1.49 0.89 4.26 2.98 1.79 3 Elevated 1700 10AM 84.5 66.5 1.72 959.3 103.6 4.0 4.2 **** **** **** 1.98 1.38 0.83 3.95 2.77 1.66 3 Elevated 1800 11AM 86.6 65.2 1.71 855.4 86.8 3.7 4.3 **** **** **** 1.80 1.26 0.75 3.59 2.51 1.51 3 Elevated 1900 12PM 88.4 63.9 1.70 788.3 74.9 3.4 4.3 **** **** **** 1.64 1.15 0.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 2000 01PM 90.0 62.8 1.69 705.3 57.4 3.1 4.4 **** **** **** 1.52 1.06 0.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Moderate 2100 02PM 91.3 61.9 1.69 643.6 50.0 2.9 4.4 **** **** **** 1.41 0.99 0.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2200 03PM 92.2 61.2 1.67 590.9 47.5 2.8 4.5 **** **** **** 1.33 0.93 0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2300 04PM 92.7 60.5 1.65 530.3 55.1 2.6 4.5 **** **** **** 1.24 0.87 0.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 0 05PM 92.9 60.3 1.63 499.7 55.9 2.6 4.5 **** **** **** 1.21 0.85 0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 100 06PM 92.7 60.4 1.63 512.9 55.9 2.6 4.5 **** **** **** 1.22 0.86 0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 200 07PM 91.3 61.0 1.61 536.1 70.3 2.8 4.5 **** **** **** 1.27 0.89 0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 300 08PM 89.5 61.5 1.60 545.0 86.9 2.9 4.4 **** **** **** 1.33 0.93 0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 2: KPHX 850MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1000 03AM 70.2 13.7 1.72 765.6 180.7 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 0.98 0.68 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1100 04AM 69.3 13.9 1.74 795.7 168.7 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.02 0.71 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1200 05AM 69.0 13.7 1.74 758.4 169.3 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.00 0.70 0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1300 06AM 68.8 13.5 1.74 799.8 161.7 2.6 4.5 **** **** **** 0.98 0.69 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1400 07AM 68.8 13.2 1.74 844.6 166.4 2.5 4.6 **** **** **** 0.94 0.66 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 68.6 13.1 1.74 900.5 158.7 2.5 4.6 **** **** **** 0.93 0.65 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1600 09AM 68.4 13.0 1.72 965.0 134.8 2.5 4.6 **** **** **** 0.92 0.64 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 68.1 13.1 1.72 959.3 103.6 2.5 4.6 **** **** **** 0.93 0.65 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 68.1 13.5 1.71 855.4 86.8 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 0.97 0.68 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1900 12PM 68.8 13.9 1.70 788.3 74.9 2.8 4.5 **** **** **** 1.00 0.70 0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2000 01PM 69.7 13.9 1.69 705.3 57.4 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.00 0.70 0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2100 02PM 70.8 13.8 1.69 643.6 50.0 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 0.97 0.68 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2200 03PM 71.7 13.6 1.67 590.9 47.5 2.6 4.5 **** **** **** 0.93 0.65 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 72.2 13.2 1.65 530.3 55.1 2.5 4.5 **** **** **** 0.87 0.61 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 72.6 13.2 1.63 499.7 55.9 2.4 4.5 **** **** **** 0.85 0.60 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 72.8 13.2 1.63 512.9 55.9 2.4 4.5 **** **** **** 0.85 0.60 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 72.6 13.2 1.61 536.1 70.3 2.4 4.5 **** **** **** 0.85 0.59 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 72.4 13.2 1.60 545.0 86.9 2.4 4.6 **** **** **** 0.84 0.59 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 3: KPHX 700MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1000 03AM 52.8 5.3 1.72 765.6 180.7 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.28 0.20 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1100 04AM 52.6 5.3 1.74 795.7 168.7 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.29 0.20 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 52.6 5.0 1.74 758.4 169.3 0.7 5.2 **** **** **** 0.26 0.18 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 52.6 5.1 1.74 799.8 161.7 0.7 5.2 **** **** **** 0.27 0.19 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 52.6 5.0 1.74 844.6 166.4 0.7 5.2 **** **** **** 0.26 0.18 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 52.6 4.8 1.74 900.5 158.7 0.7 5.2 **** **** **** 0.24 0.17 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1600 09AM 52.6 4.7 1.72 965.0 134.8 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.23 0.16 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 52.4 4.7 1.72 959.3 103.6 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.23 0.16 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 52.4 4.7 1.71 855.4 86.8 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.22 0.16 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 52.4 4.6 1.70 788.3 74.9 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.22 0.15 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 52.2 4.9 1.69 705.3 57.4 0.7 5.2 **** **** **** 0.24 0.17 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 52.2 5.6 1.69 643.6 50.0 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.31 0.21 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 52.4 5.9 1.67 590.9 47.5 0.9 5.1 **** **** **** 0.33 0.23 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 52.8 5.9 1.65 530.3 55.1 0.9 5.1 **** **** **** 0.33 0.23 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 53.0 6.0 1.63 499.7 55.9 0.9 5.1 **** **** **** 0.33 0.23 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 100 06PM 53.0 6.1 1.63 512.9 55.9 1.0 5.0 **** **** **** 0.34 0.24 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 200 07PM 52.8 6.1 1.61 536.1 70.3 1.0 5.0 **** **** **** 0.33 0.23 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 300 08PM 52.8 6.0 1.60 545.0 86.9 0.9 5.1 **** **** **** 0.32 0.23 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- *** GFS OUTPUT, MODEL RUN (date/time): 250918/ 600 *** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 1: KPHX SURFACE BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (F) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 700 12AM 90.4 59.1 1.56 447.6 126.1 2.4 4.6 **** **** **** 1.09 0.76 0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 800 01AM 89.5 59.1 1.61 364.8 134.9 2.5 4.6 **** **** **** 1.14 0.80 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 900 02AM 89.5 58.8 1.65 377.6 139.1 2.4 4.6 **** **** **** 1.14 0.80 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1000 03AM 89.3 59.4 1.68 492.6 151.9 2.5 4.6 **** **** **** 1.22 0.85 0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1100 04AM 89.0 59.6 1.69 514.6 148.1 2.6 4.6 **** **** **** 1.24 0.87 0.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1200 05AM 88.8 59.6 1.66 512.3 151.8 2.6 4.6 **** **** **** 1.22 0.85 0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1300 06AM 88.2 60.2 1.68 558.8 141.7 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.29 0.90 0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1400 07AM 87.3 60.7 1.73 551.9 131.7 2.8 4.5 **** **** **** 1.39 0.97 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1500 08AM 87.3 60.6 1.72 541.3 123.3 2.8 4.5 **** **** **** 1.37 0.96 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1600 09AM 87.7 60.8 1.72 567.4 101.6 2.8 4.5 **** **** **** 1.38 0.97 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1700 10AM 88.8 61.0 1.72 699.5 78.6 2.8 4.5 **** **** **** 1.38 0.97 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1800 11AM 89.9 61.0 1.70 760.0 59.2 2.8 4.5 **** **** **** 1.36 0.95 0.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1900 12PM 91.3 60.6 1.65 797.6 47.8 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 1.27 0.89 0.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2000 01PM 92.6 60.1 1.58 795.5 31.9 2.6 4.5 **** **** **** 1.16 0.81 0.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2100 02PM 94.0 59.4 1.56 763.2 15.4 2.4 4.6 **** **** **** 1.08 0.75 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2200 03PM 95.1 58.7 1.58 709.1 2.2 2.3 4.6 **** **** **** 1.02 0.71 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 2300 04PM 96.0 58.2 1.62 745.6 0.8 2.2 4.6 **** **** **** 1.00 0.70 0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 0 05PM 96.5 57.9 1.62 724.3 0.8 2.1 4.6 **** **** **** 0.97 0.68 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 2: KPHX 850MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 700 12AM 69.2 12.4 1.56 447.6 126.1 2.3 4.6 **** **** **** 0.77 0.54 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 67.2 12.2 1.61 364.8 134.9 2.3 4.6 **** **** **** 0.78 0.55 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 68.1 11.6 1.65 377.6 139.1 2.1 4.7 **** **** **** 0.73 0.51 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1000 03AM 69.9 10.9 1.68 492.6 151.9 1.8 4.8 **** **** **** 0.66 0.46 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1100 04AM 69.7 10.9 1.69 514.6 148.1 1.8 4.8 **** **** **** 0.65 0.46 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 70.1 10.9 1.66 512.3 151.8 1.8 4.8 **** **** **** 0.64 0.45 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 68.3 11.6 1.68 558.8 141.7 2.1 4.7 **** **** **** 0.75 0.52 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 66.5 12.6 1.73 551.9 131.7 2.4 4.6 **** **** **** 0.89 0.62 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 66.8 12.5 1.72 541.3 123.3 2.4 4.6 **** **** **** 0.88 0.61 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1600 09AM 66.6 12.7 1.72 567.4 101.6 2.4 4.6 **** **** **** 0.90 0.63 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 66.1 13.1 1.72 699.5 78.6 2.6 4.6 **** **** **** 0.95 0.67 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 66.1 13.5 1.70 760.0 59.2 2.7 4.5 **** **** **** 0.99 0.69 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Low 1900 12PM 67.2 13.4 1.65 797.6 47.8 2.6 4.5 **** **** **** 0.93 0.65 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 68.4 13.0 1.58 795.5 31.9 2.5 4.6 **** **** **** 0.85 0.59 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 69.7 12.6 1.56 763.2 15.4 2.3 4.6 **** **** **** 0.78 0.55 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 70.8 12.3 1.58 709.1 2.2 2.2 4.6 **** **** **** 0.75 0.52 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 71.7 12.1 1.62 745.6 0.8 2.1 4.6 **** **** **** 0.74 0.52 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 72.4 12.0 1.62 724.3 0.8 2.1 4.6 **** **** **** 0.72 0.51 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE 3: KPHX 700MB ELEVATED BASED PARCEL ATTRIBUTES AND QPF -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FORECAST HOUR | Air Dewp. Warm | Non-Convect. QPF | Convect. QPF | QPF W/Mult. | Flash Flood Pot. ------------------| Temp. Temp. PW CAPE CIN Layer MALR | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | 1hr. 30m. 10m. | UTC | AST | (F) (C) (in) (J/Kg) (J/Kg) (Km) (C/Km) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | (in) (in) (in) | FFP Index Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 700 12AM 49.9 3.4 1.56 447.6 126.1 0.4 5.3 **** **** **** 0.12 0.09 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 800 01AM 50.1 3.5 1.61 364.8 134.9 0.4 5.3 **** **** **** 0.14 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 900 02AM 49.4 4.0 1.65 377.6 139.1 0.5 5.3 **** **** **** 0.19 0.13 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1000 03AM 48.6 4.9 1.68 492.6 151.9 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.27 0.19 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1100 04AM 48.5 4.1 1.69 514.6 148.1 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.20 0.14 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1200 05AM 48.1 3.0 1.66 512.3 151.8 0.3 5.4 **** **** **** 0.11 0.08 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1300 06AM 48.5 4.7 1.68 558.8 141.7 0.7 5.2 **** **** **** 0.26 0.18 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1400 07AM 47.7 4.9 1.73 551.9 131.7 0.8 5.1 **** **** **** 0.30 0.21 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1500 08AM 47.7 4.6 1.72 541.3 123.3 0.7 5.2 **** **** **** 0.26 0.18 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1600 09AM 48.1 4.3 1.72 567.4 101.6 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.24 0.17 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1700 10AM 48.1 4.2 1.72 699.5 78.6 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.22 0.16 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1800 11AM 48.3 3.5 1.70 760.0 59.2 0.4 5.3 **** **** **** 0.16 0.11 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 1900 12PM 48.3 3.4 1.65 797.6 47.8 0.4 5.3 **** **** **** 0.15 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2000 01PM 48.5 4.2 1.58 795.5 31.9 0.6 5.2 **** **** **** 0.20 0.14 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2100 02PM 48.8 4.5 1.56 763.2 15.4 0.7 5.2 **** **** **** 0.22 0.15 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2200 03PM 47.4 5.8 1.58 709.1 2.2 1.0 5.0 **** **** **** 0.34 0.24 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 2300 04PM 47.2 6.8 1.62 745.6 0.8 1.3 4.9 **** **** **** 0.45 0.32 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None 0 05PM 47.2 7.1 1.62 724.3 0.8 1.4 4.9 **** **** **** 0.48 0.33 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 None --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------